Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 2.800509 2.941669 3.089848 3.257649 3.443215 3.643109 3.876024
2025-07-06 2.529613 2.718616 2.925916 3.172367 3.460405 3.790357 4.202957
2025-07-13 2.411069 2.645231 2.912645 3.245762 3.657385 4.160783 4.842906
2025-07-20 2.283031 2.546599 2.857699 3.260914 3.784412 4.465102 5.464921
2025-07-27 2.225047 2.523782 2.888547 3.381688 4.058106 5.003316 6.541283
2025-08-03 2.152195 2.475075 2.880686 3.449483 4.269486 5.497379 7.721389
2025-08-10 2.048439 2.378599 2.801786 3.411234 4.323437 5.766414 8.632772
2025-08-17 1.922570 2.245114 2.663485 3.275730 4.213592 5.750183 9.000948
2025-08-24 1.829328 2.148725 2.568159 3.192390 4.172661 5.842285 9.644210
2025-08-31 1.768053 2.090893 2.521021 3.174133 4.231234 6.121987 10.878002
2025-09-07 1.694741 2.012943 2.440868 3.099225 4.186562 6.198272 11.646180
2025-09-14 1.628920 1.942049 2.366573 3.027255 4.138219 6.258068 12.424269
2025-09-21 1.547623 1.851610 2.266881 2.920234 4.037996 6.236568 13.127441
2025-09-28 1.488243 1.789268 2.204869 2.868867 4.033318 6.428939 14.890555
2025-10-05 1.468300 1.780748 2.220436 2.943010 4.270874 7.258518 21.224585
2025-10-12 1.435505 1.752435 2.204945 2.965033 4.415245 7.938457 30.312682
2025-10-19 1.425932 1.756563 2.238256 3.072922 4.756125 9.379060 71.930486
2025-10-26 1.405607 1.743874 2.244650 3.134583 5.015372 10.805779 749.170823
2025-11-02 1.367018 1.702465 2.203372 3.105947 5.064578 11.527881 NaN
2025-11-09 1.313426 1.636809 2.120431 2.993989 4.898612 11.264615 NaN
2025-11-16 1.272036 1.587993 2.062390 2.924813 4.828871 11.417325 NaN
2025-11-23 1.244506 1.558882 2.034564 2.910294 4.892537 12.263300 NaN
2025-11-30 1.208887 1.516394 1.983184 2.847109 4.823523 12.411614 NaN